rusiimwameagan
0x261de34901efeedf8a28007c6e5f50015fb44918
- Realised P&L
- $-57.89
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $380.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $375.57 | +$0.57 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.982 | 1.000 | $1.53 | +$0.03 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.969 | $1.25 | −$0.03 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.950 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
| Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · No | 0.977 | 0.981 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs · FURIA Esports | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Avangard Omsk · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs · Cupid Esports | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.17at 0.351UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)
- +$9.41at 0.701ELH: Plzeň vs. Motor České Budějovice
- +$7.49at 0.720Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$7.29at 0.661Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milano
- +$5.50at 0.582Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs BakS eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $375.00 |
| 10-08 15:10 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999577 | $1.10 |
| 10-08 15:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.28 |
| 10-08 14:45 | ELH: Plzeň vs. Motor České Budějovice | BUY | 0.6899999981 | $21.70 |
| 10-08 14:43 | KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Avangard Omsk | BUY | 0.449999999 | $22.00 |
| 10-08 14:41 | Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milano | BUY | 0.6499999861 | $14.00 |
| 10-08 14:36 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.7099999993 | $19.00 |
| 10-08 14:34 | LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $21.00 |
| 10-08 14:33 | LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 06:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9909999987 | $441.00 |
| 09-17 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 06:52 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969995851 | $1.80 |
| 09-17 06:52 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999469 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 07:48 | UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.3399999902 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 07:44 | Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Denisa Zoldakova | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $8.00 |