INTERPOL
0x255e42f3a373dda78e208a9ab5923123ef86f6dc
- Realised P&L
- $358.51
- Volume
- $266.5k
- Markets traded
- 487
- Open portfolio
- $820.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded487
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$423.88at 0.158Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$211.61at 0.453Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$155.25at 0.349Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
- +$147.48at 0.947Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$139.26at 0.030Government shutdown on Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 23:53 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 07-06 23:53 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 22:40 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | BUY | 0.9239999708 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 22:21 | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.095 | $3.72 |
| 07-06 22:20 | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.9650255584 | $41.91 |
| 07-06 22:20 | Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.986 | $49.30 |
| 07-06 22:18 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 07-06 22:07 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8999999842 | $40.00 |
| 07-06 22:05 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $80.00 |
| 07-06 22:05 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 07-05 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 07-05 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 5? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 13:40 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $39.01 |
| 07-04 05:07 | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 04:38 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.69 | $143.86 |