Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $70 in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/pricing
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.15. down 0.35 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.15 to 0.54. 42 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	80	80
0.72	7	87
0.73	30	117
0.74	80	197
0.75	300	497
0.98	5	502
0.99	88	590

Spread0.02Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	140	140
0.13	20	160
0.10	21	181
0.05	80	261
0.04	79	340
0.02	5	345
0.01	88	433

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	140	140
0.87	20	160
0.90	21	181
0.95	80	261
0.96	79	340
0.98	5	345
0.99	88	433

Spread0.02Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	80	80
0.28	7	87
0.27	30	117
0.26	80	197
0.25	300	497
0.02	5	502
0.01	88	590

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	57.78
Quantum777	No	40
ayosussybenny	No	8.74
aviax	No	6.17
0x11b7…4b0f	No	2.87

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:12:45	SELL	No	0.8145020027	75	$61.01
11:01:59	BUY	No	0.8699999997	75	$65.17
11:01:59	BUY	No	0.8699999756	3	$2.50
07:44:27	BUY	No	0.81	40	$32.40
04:04:50	BUY	No	0.8099999741	6	$5.00
04:04:48	BUY	No	0.8099999741	6	$5.00