PolyBot

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Traders

Yasen

0x24c517156c557cd1f3cef97036ace147ac05e032

Realised P&L
$735.35
Volume
$58.4k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$65.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.009$26.56+$1.56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.021$20.50+$5.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.0280.026$13.70−$1.30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0830.025$1.54−$3.46
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0420.013$1.49−$3.51
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.025$0.64−$1.36
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$0.28−$3.72
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$0.21−$2.79
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0400.002$0.11−$2.89
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Raptors vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.1440.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 16:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$10.00
09-18 12:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.0284683303$15.00
09-18 12:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.015$15.00
09-18 12:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$15.00
09-16 07:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$5.00
09-15 10:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$5.00
07-19 19:54Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4$2.00
07-11 23:09Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.25$2.00
07-11 23:09Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4499999212$2.00
07-11 23:08France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.299999925$2.00
07-11 23:07Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
07-11 23:05Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1549998907$1.00
07-11 23:05Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.299999925$2.00
07-10 20:24Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.162499868$1.00
07-10 20:23Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2624999245$2.00