PolyBot

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Traders

Wtfitst2daj

0x24aab9f0ffe38a718f988760f5d27c8418317e0a

Realised P&L
$-5.2k
Volume
$621.4k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$748.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · No0.8500.935$158.95+$14.45
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6600.145$116.00$412.00
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No0.9200.960$104.29+$4.29
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3900.840$100.80+$53.94
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.966$96.55+$3.55
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · No0.4100.320$31.19$8.77
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.3280.017$29.87$564.28
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? · No0.7800.989$28.68+$6.06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1700.065$19.12$30.88
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3890.165$16.50$22.42
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · No0.2180.155$15.50$6.30
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7300.043$13.05$205.95
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0600.031$10.33$9.67
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0610.017$5.41$14.59
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2750.004$1.40$108.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 15:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.65$1.0k
08-11 05:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.56$559.99
07-26 21:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.1878575276$100.00
07-19 21:29Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.31$62.00
07-17 02:05Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
07-17 02:05Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?BUY0.0609999972$20.00
07-05 03:24Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
07-05 03:24Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
07-05 03:23Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.5199999938$20.00
07-05 03:22Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7199999986$100.00
07-05 03:21Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
07-04 00:48Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.15$7.50
07-04 00:32Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceSELL0.034$10.86
07-04 00:29Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3129999987$100.00
07-04 00:23Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$30.00