Wtfitst2daj
0x24aab9f0ffe38a718f988760f5d27c8418317e0a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $618.8k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $962.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.372Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$505.85at 0.699Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
- +$285.52at 0.672SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$241.44at 0.384Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?
- +$240.42at 0.039Government shutdown on Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 21:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1878575276 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 07-17 02:05 | Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 02:05 | Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.0609999972 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 03:24 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 03:24 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 03:23 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 03:22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7199999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 03:21 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 00:48 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 07-04 00:32 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.034 | $10.86 |
| 07-04 00:29 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3129999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 00:23 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $30.00 |
| 07-04 00:21 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0042850281 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 00:19 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.5298935926 | $50.00 |