PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

GoodDealBro

0x245e93fb7a6f2ff65b747fd182b4e0da3a93183c

Realised P&L
$-21.6k
Volume
$1.52M
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$13.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4310.565$8.0k+$1.9k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4480.440$1.1k−$22.50
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0210.025$963.80+$116.60
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.945$945.00+$65.00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1830.183$640.50+$0.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0600.535$614.35+$545.45
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.745$476.66+$16.00
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1610.032$427.35−$1.8k
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0190.018$346.87−$9.38
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.003$82.77−$148.98
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.013$65.00+$30.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0420.056$43.52+$10.88
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$531.13
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$520.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 22:38Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.007$2.86
09-18 06:02Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.47$489.20
06-16 12:53Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$2.3k
06-01 23:37Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.57$1.5k
04-28 08:03Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.068$21.91
04-28 08:03Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.24$32.82
04-08 09:18US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?SELL0.001$2.30
04-08 09:18US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.003$6.76
04-01 15:20US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.6249779$624.98
03-31 11:46US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.993$496.50
03-29 07:57US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.82$291.10
03-27 08:56US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.62$102.92
03-22 23:00US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.69$31.05
03-22 08:02Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.11$225.78
03-22 08:02Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$40.81