GoodDealBro
0x245e93fb7a6f2ff65b747fd182b4e0da3a93183c
- Realised P&L
- $-21.6k
- Volume
- $1.52M
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $13.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.299Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$2.2kat 0.499US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.767Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.702Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$1.1kat 0.562US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 22:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.86 |
| 09-18 06:02 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $489.20 |
| 06-16 12:53 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.3k |
| 06-01 23:37 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.5k |
| 04-28 08:03 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.068 | $21.91 |
| 04-28 08:03 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $32.82 |
| 04-08 09:18 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.30 |
| 04-08 09:18 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.76 |
| 04-01 15:20 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.6249779 | $624.98 |
| 03-31 11:46 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $496.50 |
| 03-29 07:57 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.82 | $291.10 |
| 03-27 08:56 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $102.92 |
| 03-22 23:00 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.69 | $31.05 |
| 03-22 08:02 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $225.78 |
| 03-22 08:02 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $40.81 |