Key03
0x23a8bd40038e09df8094a8095e48e35e821d0586
- Realised P&L
- $6.7k
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $313.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.635 | $130.22 | +$5.22 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.446 | 0.855 | $67.15 | +$32.15 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.969 | $55.03 | +$5.03 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.599 | 0.945 | $23.66 | +$8.66 |
| Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.080 | $13.33 | −$1.67 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.502 | $10.48 | +$2.48 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.157 | $9.39 | −$5.61 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.015 | $2.09 | −$27.91 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.015 | $1.82 | −$18.18 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.612Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$1.9kat 0.614Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$1.3kat 0.618Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$743.95at 0.523Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$456.34at 0.561Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 05:06 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9729107333 | $45.78 |
| 09-29 05:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 01:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $75.00 |
| 09-13 16:34 | Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 22:52 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $63.88 |
| 05-19 02:55 | Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.5751650276 | $800.00 |
| 05-19 01:37 | Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.6513899277 | $300.00 |
| 05-18 20:32 | Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.6549172553 | $300.00 |
| 05-18 02:09 | Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.5744849438 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 02:00 | Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.5728734542 | $250.00 |
| 05-18 00:23 | Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.524211459 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 21:51 | Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.5676335358 | $300.00 |
| 05-16 18:40 | Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.6147417409 | $1000.00 |
| 05-16 04:05 | Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.6016478599 | $640.00 |
| 05-15 13:33 | Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.6008404003 | $100.00 |