PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Key03

0x23a8bd40038e09df8094a8095e48e35e821d0586

Realised P&L
$6.7k
Volume
$36.8k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$313.17

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar18.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.635$130.22+$5.22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.4460.855$67.15+$32.15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.969$55.03+$5.03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5990.945$23.66+$8.66
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0900.080$13.33−$1.67
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3840.502$10.48+$2.48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2500.157$9.39−$5.61
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2080.015$2.09−$27.91
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1650.015$1.82−$18.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 05:06Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.9729107333$45.78
09-29 05:06Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999979$50.00
09-23 01:53Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5799999992$75.00
09-13 16:34Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?BUY0.0899999998$15.00
07-18 22:52Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.92$63.88
05-19 02:55Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.5751650276$800.00
05-19 01:37Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.6513899277$300.00
05-18 20:32Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.6549172553$300.00
05-18 02:09Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.5744849438$100.00
05-18 02:00Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.5728734542$250.00
05-18 00:23Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.524211459$100.00
05-16 21:51Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.5676335358$300.00
05-16 18:40Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.6147417409$1000.00
05-16 04:05Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.6016478599$640.00
05-15 13:33Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.6008404003$100.00