AmandaMiller2862
0x22f27959816eedf20f5b965797dafa09a4ca90d7
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $529.3k
- Markets traded
- 462
- Open portfolio
- $641.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded462
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.110Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
- +$904.86at 0.566Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
- +$870.46at 0.562Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
- +$848.31at 0.362Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$757.70at 0.210Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 08:36 | Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $718.47 |
| 04-21 04:52 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.22 |
| 04-21 03:50 | Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $20.50 |
| 04-21 02:52 | Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08? | SELL | 0.59 | $623.04 |
| 04-13 15:38 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.23 |
| 04-13 10:11 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $464.82 |
| 04-13 05:52 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $472.44 |
| 04-13 04:50 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $484.16 |
| 04-13 04:48 | Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.445 | $53.84 |
| 04-13 04:35 | Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? | SELL | 0.86 | $632.10 |
| 04-13 04:27 | Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $353.42 |
| 04-13 02:43 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $179.78 |
| 04-13 01:41 | Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? | BUY | 0.88 | $646.80 |
| 04-13 00:56 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $477.04 |
| 04-12 20:59 | Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $275.52 |