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Traders

AmandaMiller2862

0x22f27959816eedf20f5b965797dafa09a4ca90d7

Realised P&L
$6.2k
Volume
$529.3k
Markets traded
462
Open portfolio
$567.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded462
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.6270.878$244.08+$69.78
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.960$106.50+$36.57
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? · No0.8500.920$52.44+$3.99
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.974$47.70+$10.95
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.1100.075$46.80−$21.84
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.6210.122$32.57−$133.23
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2590.898$32.35+$23.02
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.7800.942$2.83+$0.49
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · Yes0.7730.051$1.51−$21.68
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0320.086$0.60+$0.37
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.060$0.18−$0.78
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$0.01−$0.15
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0150.001$0.00−$0.03
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$3.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 08:36Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?SELL0.81$718.47
04-21 04:52Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.004$0.22
04-21 03:50Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?SELL0.82$20.50
04-21 02:52Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?SELL0.59$623.04
04-13 15:38Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?SELL0.003$3.23
04-13 10:11Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?SELL0.61$464.82
04-13 05:52Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?BUY0.62$472.44
04-13 04:50Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.68$484.16
04-13 04:48Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.445$53.84
04-13 04:35Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?SELL0.86$632.10
04-13 04:27Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?SELL0.82$353.42
04-13 02:43Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5BUY0.89$179.78
04-13 01:41Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?BUY0.88$646.80
04-13 00:56Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.67$477.04
04-12 20:59Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?SELL0.84$275.52