ryzq112
0x2225d63e665562c9eec4140c58a856f1a69cbee7
- Realised P&L
- $-66.28
- Volume
- $39.0k
- Markets traded
- 697
- Open portfolio
- $526.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded697
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.50at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$67.31at 0.252Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$52.16at 0.739Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$50.00at 0.500Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$48.72at 0.802MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 02:29 | Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 08-30 02:29 | Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 08-28 11:48 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.855 | $13.01 |
| 08-26 03:18 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-26 03:18 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.31 |
| 08-25 06:45 | Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-25 02:34 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.98 |
| 08-24 09:59 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 08-23 08:55 | Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026? | SELL | 0.155 | $3.88 |
| 08-23 08:55 | Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.18 |
| 08-22 08:58 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $59.57 |
| 08-21 11:11 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 20 million views this week? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 08-20 13:15 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $98.40 |
| 08-20 13:12 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.176 | $3.52 |
| 08-20 13:12 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.181 | $6.30 |