PolyBot

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Traders

0x21fec2a3079c16cce39fd52333fd30c6deded697

0x21fec2a3079c16cce39fd52333fd30c6deded697

Realised P&L
$-6.81
Volume
$197.46
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$7.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2400.615$2.56+$1.56
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.3100.475$1.53+$0.53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.7700.835$1.08+$0.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2400.233$0.97−$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.7400.675$0.91−$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 00:43Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-04 01:34Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-03 16:15Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7699995842$1.00
10-03 06:34Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-02 05:44Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-01 20:07Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-01 00:03Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?BUY0.2579999995$1.00
09-30 16:00Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-30 07:55Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-24 19:15Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-24 10:44Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-24 02:43Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-21 18:28Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-21 09:21Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5899999145$2.00
09-19 10:56Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$2.00