0x21d5cfdDf5d2e33586b0B879c510137ed09fb6D5-1778086142567
0x21d5cfddf5d2e33586b0b879c510137ed09fb6d5
- Realised P&L
- $-157.82
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 712
- Open portfolio
- $26.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded712
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.18at 0.228Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 4?
- +$7.14at 0.160Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
- +$6.23at 0.393Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
- +$5.18at 0.437Will Wydad Athletic Club win on 2026-06-21?
- +$4.97at 0.531Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:48 | Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31? | BUY | 0.2299999907 | $1.98 |
| 09-22 21:46 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 09-22 21:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.86 |
| 09-21 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.6899999815 | $1.12 |
| 09-21 14:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.59 |
| 09-18 20:13 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.55 |
| 09-18 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3399999931 | $1.96 |
| 09-18 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2799999871 | $1.74 |
| 09-17 12:33 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999929 | $1.92 |
| 09-16 18:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7099998882 | $1.08 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6999998028 | $1.42 |
| 09-16 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6099998655 | $1.86 |
| 09-16 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6899999296 | $1.96 |
| 09-15 17:15 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999516 | $1.24 |
| 09-15 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.98 |