0x21d5cfdDf5d2e33586b0B879c510137ed09fb6D5-1778086142567
0x21d5cfddf5d2e33586b0b879c510137ed09fb6d5
- Realised P&L
- $-121.83
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 663
- Open portfolio
- $21.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded663
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.27at 0.219Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 4?
- +$5.25at 0.430Will Wydad Athletic Club win on 2026-06-21?
- +$5.14at 0.524Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
- +$5.02at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 2?
- +$4.79at 0.450Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:34 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.3099999103 | $1.52 |
| 08-03 00:12 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999298 | $1.96 |
| 08-02 23:58 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.4099998807 | $1.89 |
| 08-02 16:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.14 |
| 08-02 14:43 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5599999345 | $1.71 |
| 08-02 12:37 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | BUY | 0.6699997098 | $1.87 |
| 08-02 12:11 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.83 |
| 08-02 04:29 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | BUY | 0.889999991 | $1.98 |
| 08-02 00:38 | Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.3599999377 | $1.85 |
| 08-01 23:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.46 |
| 08-01 20:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.46 |
| 08-01 20:01 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.3699998871 | $1.90 |
| 08-01 17:10 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.83 |
| 08-01 17:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.96 |
| 08-01 17:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.45 |