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Traders

mailong11

0x20e904be9218b3e52cb14422e25c7f541480691d

Realised P&L
$100.63
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$193.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9750.932$42.43$1.93
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9820.986$32.52+$0.12
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9000.790$31.60$4.40
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.1220.166$16.60+$4.40
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.1800.155$15.50$2.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September? · No0.9920.994$12.77+$0.03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.061$12.20$17.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9310.638$9.56$4.39
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0600.011$8.40$39.60
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.0570.083$8.30+$2.60
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0250.005$3.30$11.90
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$8.95
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$3.20
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$51.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00$26.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 03:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ETBUY0.994$49.70
09-11 04:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?BUY0.028$5.60
09-03 04:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.38$22.80
08-27 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8AM ETBUY0.5$12.50
08-20 14:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20?BUY0.011$4.40
08-20 09:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?BUY0.539$21.56
08-20 04:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?BUY0.033$6.60
08-20 03:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?BUY0.032$6.40
08-20 03:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?SELL0.994$29.82
08-14 15:18Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.977$21.49
07-22 07:29Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?SELL0.974$97.40
07-12 03:32Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.453$4.80
06-17 03:56Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.949$48.40
05-31 07:08The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. CheddySELL0.75$10.43
05-19 03:46Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.64$25.60
Trader mailong11 · PolyBot Pro