PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x20e4bceb8A8bdAE6650335b1287f3d1343dcfA78-1756434474405

0x20e4bceb8a8bdae6650335b1287f3d1343dcfa78

Realised P&L
$-260.87
Volume
$30.0k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$78.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3900.465$17.88+$2.88
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0960.201$14.21+$7.42
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9100.993$10.91+$0.91
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.115$9.20+$1.20
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2430.569$6.82+$3.90
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7700.835$4.17+$0.33
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0240.009$3.40$6.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2100.162$3.23$0.97
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1500.160$2.39+$0.14
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0080.004$2.14$2.86
Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? · No0.5600.620$1.74+$0.17
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0060.007$1.17+$0.17
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0120.005$0.45$0.55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1200.077$0.39$0.21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 18:50Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9099999827$10.00
08-18 18:49Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3899999888$15.00
08-15 05:01Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.842$24.83
08-15 05:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.984$4.92
07-26 04:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.77$3.85
07-26 04:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.787$3.94
07-26 04:49Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?SELL0.75$5.39
07-26 04:48Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.042$2.94
07-19 21:53Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2433683333$2.92
07-19 21:49Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5192216659$10.00
07-19 21:47Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4889999919$5.00
07-19 20:21Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.9201615509$28.48
07-19 20:21Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.5975$19.75
07-19 19:41Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.955$12.12
07-19 19:23Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6049999924$20.00