0x20e4bceb8A8bdAE6650335b1287f3d1343dcfA78-1756434474405
0x20e4bceb8a8bdae6650335b1287f3d1343dcfa78
- Realised P&L
- $-260.87
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $78.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$13.40at 0.330Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 18:50 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-18 18:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999888 | $15.00 |
| 08-15 05:01 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.842 | $24.83 |
| 08-15 05:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.984 | $4.92 |
| 07-26 04:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 07-26 04:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.787 | $3.94 |
| 07-26 04:49 | Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $5.39 |
| 07-26 04:48 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.042 | $2.94 |
| 07-19 21:53 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2433683333 | $2.92 |
| 07-19 21:49 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5192216659 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4889999919 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 20:21 | Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.9201615509 | $28.48 |
| 07-19 20:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.5975 | $19.75 |
| 07-19 19:41 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.955 | $12.12 |
| 07-19 19:23 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6049999924 | $20.00 |