PolyBot

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Traders

daok

0x20c600b89184efb5d8ca688b36060183d275a830

Realised P&L
$-188.55
Volume
$38.2k
Markets traded
426
Open portfolio
$249.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded426
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.976$35.61+$1.66
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.9410.994$34.45+$1.83
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9310.940$19.99+$0.19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? · Yes0.9590.949$18.97−$0.21
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.105$15.75−$0.75
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9400.940$14.10+$0.00
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? · No0.9300.925$13.88−$0.07
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.915$13.72−$0.07
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No0.8600.980$13.47+$1.64
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8690.870$13.04+$0.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · No0.8000.775$11.63−$0.38
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.765$11.47−$0.07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.9300.955$9.73+$0.25
Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026? · No0.9500.940$9.40−$0.10
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.6100.900$9.00+$2.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 20:04Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.267824$2.68
10-19 19:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?BUY0.959$19.18
10-19 19:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.8$12.00
10-19 19:57Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?BUY0.95$9.50
10-19 19:53Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.93$13.95
10-19 19:52NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.77$11.55
10-19 19:52NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$3.45
10-19 19:51NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$3.60
10-19 19:48Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.869$13.04
10-10 16:57Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $29.5B by October 31?BUY0.18$1.08
10-10 16:29Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?BUY0.66$3.30
10-10 16:28Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?SELL0.963$4.81
10-10 16:26Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026?SELL0.971$2.43
10-09 21:42Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$16.50
10-09 21:23Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026?SELL0.978$9.21