PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Copytrader5783495148867

0x20a3b5f313d477be75440aadbfacdb6dfc37950c

Realised P&L
$-183.67
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
412
Open portfolio
$314.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded412
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3290.885$150.82+$94.82
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2390.183$45.95−$14.05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1700.123$43.39−$16.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3100.915$29.52+$19.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5100.964$18.89+$8.89
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2300.685$14.89+$9.89
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2590.155$7.19−$4.81
Will Trump nationalize elections? · No0.7800.940$1.21+$0.21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3860.373$0.97−$0.03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.6580.032$0.81−$16.19
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3200.215$0.67−$0.33
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.3900.033$0.33−$3.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 22:55Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-12 22:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSELL0.79$6.32
09-12 22:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.5$4.00
09-12 22:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
09-12 22:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.25$1.00
09-12 22:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-12 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSELL0.94$2.35
09-12 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.4$1.00
09-12 22:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-12 22:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.8499997025$1.00
09-12 22:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.9$1.00
09-12 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSELL0.74$2.11
09-12 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-12 22:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSELL0.79$1.49
09-12 22:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00