0x2070944802e5a7e3220c9532ca65d19474eba694
0x2070944802e5a7e3220c9532ca65d19474eba694
- Realised P&L
- $-171.77
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $90.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.873 | 0.935 | $23.95 | +$1.60 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.285 | $19.73 | −$1.04 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.645 | $13.54 | +$0.32 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.155 | $13.14 | −$16.32 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.650 | $10.04 | −$3.25 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.136 | $4.82 | −$5.03 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.063 | $4.13 | −$6.43 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.014 | $0.81 | −$1.44 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.003 | $0.08 | −$3.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.33at 0.257Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$66.61at 0.267Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$51.00at 0.550Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$48.66at 0.257Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$35.49at 0.400US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $13.29 |
| 09-25 15:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0389999998 | $2.25 |
| 09-25 15:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2769999983 | $9.85 |
| 09-25 15:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.63 | $13.23 |
| 09-25 15:44 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.86 | $18.84 |
| 09-13 18:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999971 | $11.60 |
| 09-11 14:58 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7099999986 | $15.56 |
| 09-07 16:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2999999913 | $20.77 |
| 09-04 15:00 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1179999743 | $4.00 |
| 09-04 14:58 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.56 |
| 08-31 15:05 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.889999996 | $6.74 |
| 08-31 15:03 | Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0774038027 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 08:54 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0431008303 | $3.50 |
| 07-19 08:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5909999906 | $51.67 |
| 07-19 08:18 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $52.15 |