Richardbelmex
0x1eae9d79527fbe82ab2d6ebbae63265e2fc196e6
- Realised P&L
- $-96.08
- Volume
- $754.26
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $25.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.98at 0.075Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
- +$0.37at 0.380Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$0.33at 0.253Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
- +$0.24at 0.806CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?
- +$0.14at 0.140Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 02:56 | Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 02:56 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 16:59 | Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:52 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:48 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3839999508 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:04 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.152 | $1.15 |
| 09-26 03:04 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.13 |
| 09-26 03:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.14 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | BUY | 0.0293555428 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 19:02 | Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.0989999912 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:50 | Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:59 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:57 | Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:14 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:11 | Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $1.00 |