0x1d79b4a13926728d6f70927a8451296147f9beec
0x1d79b4a13926728d6f70927a8451296147f9beec
- Realised P&L
- $159.26
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $390.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.710 | 0.705 | $99.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.875 | $70.56 | +$20.56 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.435 | $50.58 | +$0.58 |
| Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.810 | 0.815 | $50.31 | +$0.31 |
| Sweden vs. Romania: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.820 | 0.825 | $50.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.270 | $46.55 | −$3.45 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 25? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.305 | $21.79 | −$28.21 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.004 | $0.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.002 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$518.20at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$189.68at 0.575Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$95.30at 0.754Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$51.60at 0.665FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5
- +$42.02at 0.555Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:06 | Sweden vs. Romania: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 09:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 08:59 | Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 08:58 | Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 08:55 | Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend? | BUY | 0.2899999985 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 08:49 | Türkiye vs. France: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 11:28 | Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6699999958 | $48.00 |
| 09-24 11:25 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5399999968 | $51.00 |
| 09-24 07:16 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.221 | $50.37 |
| 09-24 07:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 06:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 20:47 | Chelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.003 | $0.27 |
| 09-23 18:16 | Chelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8398125131 | $75.00 |
| 09-23 18:14 | FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 14:08 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.048692531 | $23.14 |