0x1c50C2D1d691Bc3AACC49ea9CA8a90A0027Ed904-1767905831063
0x1c50c2d1d691bc3aacc49ea9ca8a90a0027ed904
- Realised P&L
- $-142.42
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 739
- Open portfolio
- $20.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded739
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.50at 0.148Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
- +$15.24at 0.136Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?
- +$15.02at 0.739Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$14.72at 0.026Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$13.17at 0.065Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 05:18 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3749999741 | $1.81 |
| 09-10 05:17 | Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:16 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3789999178 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:14 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.354 | $3.98 |
| 09-07 20:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.50 |
| 09-07 20:01 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0889999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 20:00 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.075 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 12:17 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 06:06 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 06:02 | Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.53 |
| 08-29 16:33 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.3899998066 | $1.19 |
| 08-29 16:32 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 16:30 | Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana? | SELL | 0.969 | $3.23 |
| 08-22 07:28 | Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.15 |
| 08-22 07:27 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on August 22? | BUY | 0.0697071662 | $1.00 |