0x1c50C2D1d691Bc3AACC49ea9CA8a90A0027Ed904-1767905831063
0x1c50c2d1d691bc3aacc49ea9ca8a90a0027ed904
- Realised P&L
- $-114.22
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Markets traded
- 684
- Open portfolio
- $33.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded684
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.50at 0.148Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
- +$16.31at 0.731Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$15.60at 0.130Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?
- +$14.72at 0.026Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$13.17at 0.065Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:04 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:33 | National Bank Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaider | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:33 | AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:29 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.76 | $18.82 |
| 08-04 18:52 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.1299999689 | $3.22 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.975 | $2.44 |
| 08-04 07:07 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 07:02 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 20:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.259 | $1.58 |
| 08-03 20:20 | Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | SELL | 0.34 | $1.54 |
| 08-03 20:20 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.2699999032 | $1.73 |
| 08-03 20:18 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.73 |
| 08-03 20:18 | Will there be at least 20,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999629 | $3.88 |
| 08-03 18:30 | Will Trump say "Election" during his Executive Order signing? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 18:24 | Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |