0x1C443f3c818321b17cBd866FA2Dce067b7856021-1771508334725
0x1c443f3c818321b17cbd866fa2dce067b7856021
- Realised P&L
- $7.85
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $37.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.034 | $23.45 | −$4.45 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.095 | $9.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.006 | $2.60 | −$0.60 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.005 | $2.20 | −$1.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30? · No | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.66at 0.570Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?
- +$17.60at 0.560Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
- +$1.50at 0.250Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?
- +$0.35at 0.997Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?
- +$-11.84at 0.118Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 14:05 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.20 |
| 07-08 13:25 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 10:49 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 10:48 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.02 |
| 06-23 10:48 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.01 |
| 06-23 10:45 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 04-11 10:12 | Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 04-08 14:04 | Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 04-02 04:45 | Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.074 | $5.18 |
| 03-31 18:21 | Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.222 | $6.66 |
| 03-30 22:00 | Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31? | BUY | 0.99690464 | $111.65 |
| 03-27 13:18 | Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $52.20 |
| 03-12 10:02 | Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31? | BUY | 0.3287050957 | $33.00 |