whskrz
0x1c40d2aca02af38d7faffd3397366346fa04445c
- Realised P&L
- $957.52
- Volume
- $318.7k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$231.26at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 13:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999988 | $90.00 |
| 08-30 13:39 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $35.71 |
| 08-30 13:38 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.1375248718 | $53.63 |
| 08-30 13:37 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 07-27 15:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999991 | $171.00 |
| 07-17 23:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999982 | $85.00 |
| 07-17 23:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.2215368421 | $84.18 |
| 07-17 23:14 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $95.00 |
| 07-17 23:08 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.2000838431 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 23:07 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.77 | $194.93 |
| 07-17 16:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $266.00 |
| 07-17 15:52 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 12:50 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $95.82 |
| 07-17 12:47 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.3226785714 | $18.07 |
| 07-17 12:35 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |