whskrz
0x1c40d2aca02af38d7faffd3397366346fa04445c
- Realised P&L
- $858.52
- Volume
- $340.7k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $998.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.077Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$736.09at 0.332Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$404.12at 0.668Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$244.19at 0.698GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
- +$225.67at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:26 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2897446809 | $128.01 |
| 10-31 10:12 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | BUY | 0.29 | $34.80 |
| 10-31 10:11 | Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M? | BUY | 0.25 | $38.50 |
| 10-31 00:56 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | SELL | 0.97505 | $97.50 |
| 10-30 18:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $75.60 |
| 10-30 16:49 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | BUY | 0.5403133333 | $81.05 |
| 10-30 12:54 | Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.942 | $141.30 |
| 10-30 09:29 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.781 | $23.43 |
| 10-30 09:28 | Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.468 | $46.80 |
| 10-30 09:11 | Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | BUY | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 10-30 09:02 | Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | BUY | 0.4539573684 | $86.25 |
| 10-30 04:00 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $72.80 |
| 10-29 16:09 | Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.945324 | $70.90 |
| 10-29 16:09 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $74.70 |
| 10-29 16:08 | Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9004282051 | $35.12 |