PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

W1nslow

0x1c181ac00b88c436e0a5a74e71868893834c550a

Realised P&L
$-16.75
Volume
$887.67
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$28.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.1490.235$15.74+$5.74
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.2400.225$9.37$0.63
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1080.042$3.84$6.16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.4800.000$0.00$14.90
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No0.3600.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.1400.000$0.00$9.21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12? · No0.7710.000$0.00$21.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 11:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.1399999875$9.21
07-30 09:50Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1079999911$10.00
07-30 09:46Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?BUY0.359999987$10.00
07-30 09:42Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.97$30.08
07-27 01:11Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.64$19.85
07-24 16:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?BUY0.5599999804$11.40
07-24 16:26Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.15$12.21
07-24 16:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.4799999936$14.90
07-24 16:18Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.999$14.33
07-15 09:13Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
07-15 09:12Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.1493428913$10.00
07-15 09:10Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.6969999932$10.00
07-15 09:08Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.9$31.57
01-12 16:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?BUY0.7709999664$21.61
01-12 16:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 12?SELL0.988$21.61