W1nslow
0x1c181ac00b88c436e0a5a74e71868893834c550a
- Realised P&L
- $-16.75
- Volume
- $887.67
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $28.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.235 | $15.74 | +$5.74 |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.225 | $9.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.108 | 0.042 | $3.84 | −$6.16 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.90 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12? · No | 0.771 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.03at 0.670Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 9?
- +$11.58at 0.570Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$9.67at 0.656Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$8.61at 0.577Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?
- +$4.18at 0.708Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.1399999875 | $9.21 |
| 07-30 09:50 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1079999911 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 09:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 09:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.97 | $30.08 |
| 07-27 01:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.85 |
| 07-24 16:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26? | BUY | 0.5599999804 | $11.40 |
| 07-24 16:26 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $12.21 |
| 07-24 16:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.4799999936 | $14.90 |
| 07-24 16:18 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.33 |
| 07-15 09:13 | Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:12 | Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.1493428913 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:10 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.6969999932 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $31.57 |
| 01-12 16:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12? | BUY | 0.7709999664 | $21.61 |
| 01-12 16:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 12? | SELL | 0.988 | $21.61 |