PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pet

0x1bddf4e97eda2100c1a626936943475b5a8d0b26

Realised P&L
$-78.50
Volume
$108.7k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9350.991$3.4k+$190.09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8820.769$583.88$85.48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4800.445$288.92$22.72
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9250.995$161.28+$11.28
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.1460.051$62.61$118.71
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9300.998$40.39+$2.73
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8000.490$32.56$20.60
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · No0.6110.875$14.32+$4.32
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.4820.000$0.00$385.29
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.0600.000$0.00$801.49
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$113.35
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$191.76
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.9470.000$0.00$1.3k
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-29? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$20.00
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner · Joao Fonseca0.1000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-20 14:35Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?BUY0.9933602531$2.0k
03-27 00:57Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.938$151.31
03-27 00:19Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9362433381$2.0k
03-27 00:09Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.931$585.00
03-27 00:07Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9300693123$346.00
03-11 01:14BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik SinnerBUY0.1$10.00
03-01 14:38Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.9967923681$10.0k
02-28 23:47Khamenei seen in public by February 28?BUY0.9869999998$59.00
02-28 23:46Khamenei seen in public by February 28?BUY0.9869999998$59.00
02-27 22:34Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?BUY0.9959787191$4.8k
02-27 22:31Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?BUY0.98$100.00
02-27 22:04Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?BUY0.9779231939$500.00
02-27 16:04Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?BUY0.9979999998$5.0k
02-27 15:33Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8$53.15
02-27 14:55Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.610966855$10.00