0x1B4D567Dd3E9559C51708aE286ACfC0e4b9CC84e-1783850497707
0x1b4d567dd3e9559c51708ae286acfc0e4b9cc84e
- Realised P&L
- $49.40
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 623
- Open portfolio
- $38.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded623
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.24at 0.041US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$14.32at 0.193US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
- +$13.12at 0.436Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
- +$13.06at 0.096Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$8.99at 0.142Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.99 |
| 10-10 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 18:08 | Arizona vs. West Virginia | BUY | 0.8799999765 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 18:07 | Arizona vs. West Virginia | BUY | 0.8799999765 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9899990298 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:06 | Iowa State vs. BYU | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 05:05 | Iowa State vs. BYU | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.961 | $0.97 |
| 10-10 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 03:54 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.27 |
| 10-10 03:54 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.27 |
| 10-10 02:30 | Iowa vs. Washington | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $3.00 |