PolyBot

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Traders

0x1B4D567Dd3E9559C51708aE286ACfC0e4b9CC84e-1783850497707

0x1b4d567dd3e9559c51708ae286acfc0e4b9cc84e

Realised P&L
$49.40
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
623
Open portfolio
$38.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded623
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Arizona vs. West Virginia · Arizona0.8801.000$6.82+$0.82
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9140.905$3.96−$0.04
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · No0.9691.000$2.06+$0.06
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? · No0.9831.000$2.04+$0.04
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.9961.000$2.01+$0.01
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8950.877$1.96−$0.04
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.7500.885$1.18+$0.18
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8600.955$1.11+$0.11
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.8200.875$1.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? · No0.8400.895$1.07+$0.07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8340.879$1.05+$0.05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8400.885$1.05+$0.05
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.9701.000$1.03+$0.03
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9600.975$1.02+$0.02
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9590.965$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 05:01Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 11?SELL0.998$1.00
10-11 05:01Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 11?BUY0.999$1.00
10-10 21:06Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10?SELL0.991$0.99
10-10 21:06Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10?BUY0.999$1.00
10-10 18:08Arizona vs. West VirginiaBUY0.8799999765$3.00
10-10 18:07Arizona vs. West VirginiaBUY0.8799999765$3.00
10-10 07:03Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 10?SELL0.99$1.00
10-10 07:03Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 10?BUY0.9899990298$1.00
10-10 05:06Iowa State vs. BYUBUY0.9909999993$3.00
10-10 05:05Iowa State vs. BYUBUY0.9909999993$3.00
10-10 05:02Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 10?SELL0.961$0.97
10-10 05:00Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.99$1.00
10-10 03:54Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 10?SELL0.99$0.27
10-10 03:54Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 10?BUY0.99$0.27
10-10 02:30Iowa vs. WashingtonBUY0.9699999935$3.00