PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Terfa

0x1a94ff77cdc335af43ca58939cc851a6ae6b78b6

Realised P&L
$-425.11
Volume
$134.4k
Markets traded
1,071
Open portfolio
$23.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,071
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · No0.6100.390$5.85−$3.30
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2500.255$5.10+$0.10
Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes0.2000.260$3.90+$0.90
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1080.610$3.05+$2.51
Will Trump say "Honda" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No0.3200.675$1.87+$0.98
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1080.275$1.38+$0.83
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? · Yes0.1500.086$1.30−$0.95
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1080.095$0.47−$0.07
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31? · No0.3300.036$0.36−$2.94
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1080.006$0.03−$0.51
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1080.002$0.01−$0.53
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1080.001$0.00−$0.54
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1080.001$0.00−$0.54
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1080.001$0.00−$0.54
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1080.001$0.00−$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 14:08Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.25$1.25
10-03 06:55Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.973$4.87
10-03 06:11Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?SELL0.46$4.60
10-03 00:23Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?SELL0.7$8.39
10-02 17:25Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?BUY0.68$13.60
10-02 11:03Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.61$9.15
10-02 10:03Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?BUY0.38$8.36
10-02 08:44Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.999$9.99
10-02 08:43Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?BUY0.33$3.30
10-02 08:28Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?SELL0.9911577287$6.28
10-02 08:08Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$0.43
10-02 08:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.2478632453$10.00
10-02 08:00WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 2?SELL0.21$4.20
10-02 07:51WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 2?BUY0.27$5.40
10-02 07:37Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.36$10.29