Jianyuen
0x1a441b376f9e82eb9643a449b8b74d1b84e25e33
- Realised P&L
- $10.8k
- Volume
- $642.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,256
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,256
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.258Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.867Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$798.01at 0.715Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$790.83at 0.925MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$682.00at 0.621Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:24 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $89.10 |
| 09-17 14:23 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $71.76 |
| 09-15 14:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.9911105705 | $8.6k |
| 09-11 14:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 08-28 11:47 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.858 | $171.60 |
| 08-18 15:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.983 | $983.00 |
| 08-18 15:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 08-18 15:33 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $336.00 |
| 08-18 15:29 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $344.00 |
| 08-18 15:29 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 08-08 13:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $663.96 |
| 08-08 13:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 07-19 14:01 | Lionel Messi: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.92 | $190.70 |
| 07-17 11:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $197.80 |
| 07-11 01:33 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $32.00 |