PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jianyuen

0x1a441b376f9e82eb9643a449b8b74d1b84e25e33

Realised P&L
$11.1k
Volume
$647.4k
Markets traded
1,266
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,266
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6510.855$510.41+$121.65
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6260.565$431.79−$46.95
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7740.402$402.00−$372.40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9300.997$398.80+$26.80
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8950.870$348.00−$10.00
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6740.820$328.81+$58.54
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.945$283.50+$16.50
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9200.935$280.50+$4.50
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8440.865$270.26+$6.56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.4300.925$184.98+$98.99
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.6800.905$180.99+$45.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7250.875$175.00+$30.00
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.8900.721$144.10−$33.90
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4800.949$94.85+$46.85
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5850.942$94.20+$35.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 11:35Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.16$32.00
10-29 12:55Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.45$112.50
10-08 15:29Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.89$2.4k
10-06 15:29NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.91$364.00
10-05 14:14Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$226.25
10-04 09:20Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.89$1.8k
09-18 14:16Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$140.00
09-17 14:24Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9$89.10
09-17 14:23Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$71.76
09-15 14:40Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.9911105705$8.6k
09-11 14:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.17$34.00
08-28 11:47Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?BUY0.858$171.60
08-18 15:34Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.983$983.00
08-18 15:34Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.87$174.00
08-18 15:33Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.84$336.00