PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jianyuen

0x1a441b376f9e82eb9643a449b8b74d1b84e25e33

Realised P&L
$10.8k
Volume
$642.1k
Markets traded
1,256
Open portfolio
$7.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,256
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9140.983$1.7k+$120.43
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7520.855$855.00+$103.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7740.600$600.00$174.40
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No0.6890.820$574.00+$92.00
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9150.976$487.75+$30.25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8280.967$483.25+$69.25
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6510.710$423.85+$35.09
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6740.700$280.69+$10.43
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9200.870$261.00$15.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · No0.9500.945$189.00$1.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.4300.875$174.98+$88.99
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.5940.933$165.01+$60.01
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.6800.755$150.99+$15.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7250.745$149.00+$4.00
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4800.935$93.50+$45.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:24Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9$89.10
09-17 14:23Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$71.76
09-15 14:40Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.9911105705$8.6k
09-11 14:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.17$34.00
08-28 11:47Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?BUY0.858$171.60
08-18 15:34Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.983$983.00
08-18 15:34Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.87$174.00
08-18 15:33Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.84$336.00
08-18 15:29Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.86$344.00
08-18 15:29Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.62$62.00
08-08 13:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$663.96
08-08 13:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?BUY0.96$96.00
07-19 14:01Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsBUY0.92$190.70
07-17 11:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.989$197.80
07-11 01:33Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.016$32.00