Metuzalem
0x1a0f20df6226febc5cfc7c3063aa1c83955bc162
- Realised P&L
- $-10.47
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $10.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.16at 0.240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$2.45at 0.290Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.460Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$0.85at 0.540Will Trump say "Atlantic" this week? (January 11)
- +$0.45at 0.690Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 11:38 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.15 |
| 01-28 17:14 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 01-27 01:23 | Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.29 |
| 01-24 18:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 01-24 18:09 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 01-24 18:09 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 01-24 18:08 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.18 |
| 01-14 23:00 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 00:24 | Will the US strike Colombia next? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 01-14 00:18 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 00:15 | Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 00:09 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 00:05 | Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18) | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 00:02 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 13:24 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0989999564 | $2.00 |