PolyBot

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Traders

Frightening-Bulldozer-Stylus

0x19bb5dd46bd4f7c96b073a7cbacbe3108bb8f0f5

Realised P&L
$-155.38
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$723.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8620.978$236.23+$27.87
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · No0.8900.930$151.18+$6.50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.8500.925$92.51+$7.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4630.335$56.42−$21.58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · Yes0.5450.515$47.25−$2.75
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.875$40.91+$4.91
Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.890$38.14+$8.14
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? · Yes0.6400.545$27.25−$4.75
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? · Yes0.6900.400$20.00−$14.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8100.972$11.93+$1.98
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1400.175$1.25+$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 17:14Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6999999977$30.00
10-23 08:48NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$199.45
10-18 09:54NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9099992538$1.00
10-17 06:48NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999959$36.00
09-15 05:32Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8899999984$45.05
09-10 07:05Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?BUY0.5449861249$50.00
09-05 00:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?BUY0.4631290628$78.00
09-05 00:04Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.77$79.31
09-04 04:19Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8899999919$99.63
08-21 11:39NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.943$7.07
07-19 21:06Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.7774999942$4.00
07-18 19:59Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699999981$90.00
07-15 20:04Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.4274999873$15.00
07-15 20:04Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2549999891$15.00
07-15 04:48Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3174999883$10.00