PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xs55555

0x1964d019f4cae8dcc0f36cb80e0ec88084c15461

Realised P&L
$-644.88
Volume
$154.6k
Markets traded
771
Open portfolio
$109.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded771
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.0480.051$21.21+$0.92
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.2820.170$11.94−$7.90
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.0540.053$10.70−$0.13
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.0290.026$9.36−$0.97
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.0800.070$6.25−$0.97
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · No0.1070.090$5.40−$1.00
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.525$5.25+$1.45
Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.220$4.40+$0.20
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.0220.013$4.29−$2.91
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · No0.1500.140$4.20−$0.30
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.0730.130$3.90+$1.70
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.1200.125$3.30+$0.13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.0300.028$2.75−$0.25
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.035$2.10−$0.13
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.190$1.90+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 01:31Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$2.90
10-31 01:31Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$9.60
10-29 11:06Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.7114$35.57
10-28 00:25Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.3$15.00
10-27 01:36Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.05$1.50
10-25 02:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.39$1.95
10-25 02:22Will Verizon say "Prepaid" during earnings call?BUY0.13$2.60
10-24 17:14Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.37$3.70
10-24 13:57Will Elon post "Roadster" on X this week?BUY0.01$1.10
10-24 13:38Will Robinhood say "Trump" during earnings call?BUY0.23$4.60
10-24 13:38Will Robinhood say "Options" during earnings call?BUY0.14$2.80
10-24 13:38Will Robinhood say "Perp" / "Perpetual" during earnings call?BUY0.16$4.80
10-24 13:36Will Robinhood say "Prediction" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.23$1.38
10-24 13:35Will Robinhood say "Gold" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.19$5.70
10-24 13:33Will Coca-Cola say "Powerade" during earnings call?BUY0.26$2.11