MDK667
0x18ec3ac15de28a8988d6d30cccaac8ae49190c57
- Realised P&L
- $-70.97
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $4.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.165 | $1.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.040 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.105 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.064 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.034 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs · FURIA | 0.778 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage · HAVU | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.48at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?
- +$2.91at 0.340Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
- +$2.80at 0.447Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
- +$2.31at 0.835Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$2.29at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:29 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:33 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 19:24 | Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 18:03 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 17:49 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | SELL | 0.66 | $1.88 |
| 09-04 17:20 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez | SELL | 0.18 | $0.49 |
| 09-04 16:49 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 16:47 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez | SELL | 0.29 | $0.57 |
| 09-04 16:15 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 15:44 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 15:32 | US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | SELL | 0.1 | $0.40 |
| 09-04 15:28 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.85 | $1.25 |
| 09-04 15:00 | US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 14:33 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | SELL | 0.83 | $1.25 |
| 09-04 14:33 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |