trerira
0x18abbfdb265d3221669cd1fabc0b2d00890bbae4
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $535.8k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $46.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.500Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$948.21at 0.941Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$622.08at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$508.23at 0.744Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
- +$491.05at 0.500Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $281.29 |
| 09-17 20:08 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.952 | $165.83 |
| 09-17 20:07 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $269.78 |
| 09-17 20:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $940.00 |
| 09-07 01:20 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $495.50 |
| 08-30 22:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $597.60 |
| 08-30 22:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $496.50 |
| 08-29 18:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $502.23 |
| 08-29 17:20 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 08-29 17:18 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $126.53 |
| 08-19 13:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $492.50 |
| 08-19 12:37 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.957 | $299.23 |
| 08-19 12:04 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 08-19 12:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.95 | $206.19 |
| 08-19 11:57 | Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $940.00 |