PolyBot

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Traders

trerira

0x18abbfdb265d3221669cd1fabc0b2d00890bbae4

Realised P&L
$5.9k
Volume
$535.8k
Markets traded
204
Open portfolio
$46.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded204
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9430.958$9.4k+$141.98
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9510.953$4.8k+$8.24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.935$4.1k+$21.01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4080.512$3.3k+$665.52
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9670.962$2.8k$15.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.945$1.9k+$330.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9720.997$1.6k+$38.96
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9770.978$1.5k+$1.26
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.969$1.4k+$26.99
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2630.162$1.2k$752.95
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9280.945$1.1k+$20.00
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9620.978$978.99+$15.52
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.954$953.50+$3.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.935$944.92+$85.90
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · No0.9400.935$935.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:10Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.962$281.29
09-17 20:08Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.952$165.83
09-17 20:07Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?BUY0.94$269.78
09-17 20:06Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.94$940.00
09-07 01:20US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?BUY0.991$495.50
08-30 22:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.996$597.60
08-30 22:22Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$496.50
08-29 18:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.991$502.23
08-29 17:20Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.98$980.00
08-29 17:18Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$126.53
08-19 13:00Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.985$492.50
08-19 12:37Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.957$299.23
08-19 12:04Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.95$190.00
08-19 12:03Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.95$206.19
08-19 11:57Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.94$940.00