0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86
0x17ed7dbfdcfe228016ac50571182f974d59ac087
- Realised P&L
- $137.0k
- Volume
- $4.93M
- Markets traded
- 781
- Open portfolio
- $70.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded781
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.9kat 0.358Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$20.9kat 0.474Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$10.7kat 0.622Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$9.3kat 0.756US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$8.7kat 0.253Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 17:36 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.67 | $146.80 |
| 07-22 20:17 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.119 | $4.76 |
| 07-22 14:19 | Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Mees Rottgering | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 07-22 14:15 | ITF Evansville: Taylah Preston vs Savannah Broadus | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 07-22 13:40 | Livesport Prague Open: Dominika Salkova vs Oceane Dodin | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 07-17 23:01 | Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.3204024642 | $268.10 |
| 07-17 21:05 | Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $150.00 |
| 07-16 17:23 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.56 |
| 07-16 11:41 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.4050387927 | $969.98 |
| 07-15 22:10 | Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.02 |
| 07-15 22:02 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $28.24 |
| 07-15 15:49 | Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.88 |
| 07-15 15:35 | Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.3193116491 | $121.49 |
| 07-15 15:30 | Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.6720479011 | $877.15 |
| 07-15 14:06 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $17.28 |