0x17Cb6a341070Bb8287721bfCd262dff009994088-1774254146566
0x17cb6a341070bb8287721bfcd262dff009994088
- Realised P&L
- $-98.09
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $88.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.73at 0.220US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$10.40at 0.471Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
- +$7.08at 0.420Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.67at 0.600Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
- +$5.50at 0.476Will JD Vance say "Viktor" or "Orbán" 4+ times during meetings with Orbán?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 04:21 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.4689998157 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 04:13 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.6099999736 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 04:07 | Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.24 |
| 09-11 04:06 | Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 05:31 | Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 05:03 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 04:56 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 04:50 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.63 |
| 07-29 08:06 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 10:34 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.569999866 | $4.00 |
| 07-23 06:07 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 05:54 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 05:52 | Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 05:44 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1397481531 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 06:40 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |