PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FemmeInstinct

0x17bbad64d71015d1c12fde1e2aee3172b3443621

Realised P&L
$-979.60
Volume
$142.7k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$545.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7050.835$167.00+$26.00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8300.954$95.40+$12.40
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes0.8870.804$80.40$8.30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.745$74.50+$5.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.445$44.50+$4.50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3400.115$28.75$56.25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3200.140$14.00$18.00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1000.135$13.50+$3.50
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.5260.117$11.65$40.95
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.080$7.95$7.05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1800.065$6.50$11.50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.009$0.90$9.10
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$66.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? · No0.6800.000$0.00$68.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$39.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 08:48Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
08-10 09:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.64$64.00
07-15 08:29Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.194$38.80
07-07 17:32Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.019$3.80
07-06 07:35Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.999$99.91
06-23 08:54Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.008$0.32
06-23 08:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.05$5.00
06-16 13:06Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.007$7.00
05-16 23:00Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.999$99.90
05-16 22:36Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.84$84.00
05-12 18:32Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.999$19.98
05-06 20:50Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.005$0.50
05-05 09:34US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.12$12.00
05-04 07:49Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?SELL0.01$1.00
04-21 06:59Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.05$5.00