FemmeInstinct
0x17bbad64d71015d1c12fde1e2aee3172b3443621
- Realised P&L
- $-979.60
- Volume
- $142.7k
- Markets traded
- 192
- Open portfolio
- $545.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded192
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.33at 0.214Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$156.50at 0.334Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$154.31at 0.660Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$84.40at 0.150Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$82.00at 0.060Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 08:48 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 09:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 07-15 08:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.194 | $38.80 |
| 07-07 17:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.019 | $3.80 |
| 07-06 07:35 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.91 |
| 06-23 08:54 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.32 |
| 06-23 08:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 13:06 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 05-16 23:00 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-16 22:36 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 05-12 18:32 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 05-06 20:50 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 05-05 09:34 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 05-04 07:49 | Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 06:59 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |