InMyDefense
0x1768d595d2b1e49eb19958ec9cb2673eaa3d5975
- Realised P&L
- $23.38
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 297
- Open portfolio
- $19.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded297
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.36at 0.014Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$30.19at 0.032Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$22.78at 0.180Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$18.50at 0.100Nothing Ever Happens: March
- +$17.30at 0.679Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 11:25 | Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0785116515 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:25 | Will Yashar win 28-29 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:22 | Will Unity win 0.75-1% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0116877045 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:22 | Will Unity win 0.5-0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0179240379 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:19 | Astra removed from public access by October 31? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:19 | Astra removed from public access by September 30? | BUY | 0.0569999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:18 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999992 | $7.17 |
| 07-15 06:54 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 16:17 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 16:16 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 13:00 | China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 12:57 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 12:57 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 12:57 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879998804 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 12:57 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3269998842 | $1.00 |