PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

InMyDefense

0x1768d595d2b1e49eb19958ec9cb2673eaa3d5975

Realised P&L
$23.38
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
297
Open portfolio
$19.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded297
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1400.145$7.43+$0.26
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1330.527$3.97+$2.97
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1680.165$1.97$0.03
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes0.2500.205$0.82$0.18
Astra removed from public access by October 31? · Yes0.1800.140$0.78$0.22
Will Yashar win 28-29 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.1000.070$0.70$0.30
Astra removed from public access by September 30? · Yes0.0570.039$0.68$0.32
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2890.065$0.65$2.23
Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0790.049$0.62$0.38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4000.095$0.53$1.69
Will Unity win 0.75-1% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0120.005$0.43$0.57
Will Unity win 0.5-0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0180.006$0.36$0.64
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0940.025$0.27$0.73
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.5260.000$0.00$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 11:25Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.0785116515$1.00
09-14 11:25Will Yashar win 28-29 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.1$1.00
09-14 11:22Will Unity win 0.75-1% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.0116877045$1.00
09-14 11:22Will Unity win 0.5-0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.0179240379$1.00
09-14 11:19Astra removed from public access by October 31?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-14 11:19Astra removed from public access by September 30?BUY0.0569999989$1.00
09-14 11:18Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999992$7.17
07-15 06:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
07-08 16:17Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
07-08 16:16Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$1.00
07-08 13:00China ballistic missile launch by December 31?BUY0.25$1.00
07-08 12:57Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-08 12:57Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
07-08 12:57Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1879998804$1.00
07-08 12:57Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3269998842$1.00