PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

JB-bet

0x175747353cc5eba6554e7125f08822b078884a8d

Realised P&L
$948.18
Volume
$61.9k
Markets traded
231
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded231
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? · No0.9180.994$392.01+$30.02
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2080.215$264.14+$8.15
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes0.8600.925$215.93+$15.13
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6950.725$166.25+$6.99
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3810.295$137.37−$40.07
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.270$106.58−$43.42
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8700.865$99.43−$0.57
Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? · Yes0.7800.966$97.79+$18.79
Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.9400.555$83.25−$57.75
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · No0.3900.295$63.72−$20.52
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · No0.9450.963$55.92+$1.00
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.9790.982$22.56+$0.06
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.4100.080$20.00−$82.50
Will Loyal Wooldridge win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.0090.086$9.56+$8.56
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000? · Yes0.0250.045$3.39+$1.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 15:59Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7$105.00
10-29 01:40Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.68$8.66
10-28 20:02Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.2099999997$108.00
10-28 16:07Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on October 28?BUY0.99$29.70
10-28 16:07Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 28?BUY0.99$29.70
10-28 16:06Will Omaha, NE face tornado risk on October 28?BUY0.99$29.70
10-28 16:03Will St. Louis, MO face tornado risk on October 28?BUY0.99$29.70
10-28 16:03Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on October 28?BUY0.99$29.70
10-28 16:03Will Minneapolis, MN face tornado risk on October 28?BUY0.99$244.53
10-27 19:39Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.2099999997$108.00
10-27 16:39Will Charlotte, NC face tornado risk on October 27?BUY0.99$29.70
10-27 16:39Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on October 27?BUY0.99$29.70
10-27 16:39Will Houston, TX face tornado risk on October 27?BUY0.99$29.70
10-27 16:38Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8699999999$100.00
10-27 16:26Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3799999991$150.00