PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SrFrancisco

0x174e71b46911a87f25ba389de33b38c70f392a52

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$80.5k
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$835.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7230.665$134.69$11.76
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Iwo Baraniewski0.6970.685$91.55$1.55
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.9590.964$91.26+$0.44
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.6800.455$66.95$33.05
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8950.865$66.68$2.28
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.8090.785$59.94$1.83
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9000.922$51.26+$1.25
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.8990.765$34.86$6.12
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.8530.926$31.17+$2.47
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9400.935$29.50$0.16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5960.595$29.07$0.03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5800.165$27.99$70.39
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6230.580$25.27$1.88
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather0.5000.505$21.42+$0.21
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · No0.8520.865$19.84+$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:36Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.94$4.70
09-17 12:24Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.94$6.96
09-17 11:10Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.927$0.93
09-17 11:08Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.927$0.93
09-17 10:32Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.924$0.92
09-17 07:52Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.9399999976$8.00
09-17 04:34Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
09-17 03:27Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5899999887$12.56
09-17 03:24Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5999999593$2.95
09-17 03:07Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.599999933$1.79
09-17 03:01Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5999999593$2.95
09-17 03:01Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5999999593$2.95
09-17 02:53Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5999999593$2.95
09-17 02:36Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5999999593$2.95
09-17 01:14Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$4.48