PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mani1312

0x169269eb5684955d4e732537e873f417fe93efd3

Realised P&L
$-35.68
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$15.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0090.056$6.11+$5.11
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$3.67$2.33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.4900.918$1.87+$0.87
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1550.221$1.42+$0.42
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4300.512$1.19+$0.19
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.3800.255$0.67$0.33
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.044$0.49$0.51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.137$0.30$0.70
Will "Pyramid" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.50
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$2.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00$1.00
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) · Melquizael Costa0.4700.000$0.00$5.00
Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Ma · Yexin Ma0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 15:34Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-28 15:34Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.75$1.00
07-28 15:32Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.429999828$1.00
07-28 15:29Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-28 15:28Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.32$5.00
07-28 15:26Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.0899999872$6.00
07-28 15:26Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
07-28 15:22Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.4357500276$6.00
06-30 01:02Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?BUY0.999$1.00
06-30 01:02Will The Weeknd have a #1 hit in the US in June?BUY0.999$1.00
06-30 01:02Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in June?BUY0.999$1.00
06-30 01:01Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
06-30 00:59Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.1349998906$1.00
06-30 00:58Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
06-30 00:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?BUY0.66$1.00