Mani1312
0x169269eb5684955d4e732537e873f417fe93efd3
- Realised P&L
- $-35.68
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $15.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.75at 0.117Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.60at 0.448Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$4.27at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$1.75at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$1.25at 0.450Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 15:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 15:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 15:32 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 15:29 | Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 15:28 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 15:26 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999872 | $6.00 |
| 07-28 15:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 15:22 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.4357500276 | $6.00 |
| 06-30 01:02 | Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 01:02 | Will The Weeknd have a #1 hit in the US in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 01:02 | Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 01:01 | Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 00:59 | Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1349998906 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 00:58 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 00:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |