Dynamit3
0x1626df07c5464edc1fa23d9c4b21ee1508b89992
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $526.9k
- Markets traded
- 245
- Open portfolio
- $995.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded245
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$557.79at 0.790Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$542.60at 0.019Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$497.30at 0.725Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$475.16at 0.530US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$413.75at 0.739Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 19:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999997 | $437.73 |
| 09-08 18:41 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.2163929459 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 18:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $80.00 |
| 09-04 22:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 22:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.3193382523 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 22:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999982 | $250.00 |
| 08-28 07:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1245616287 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 01:09 | Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-27 00:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999993 | $150.00 |
| 08-22 01:59 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.0108724236 | $111.48 |
| 08-18 06:08 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2587602778 | $25.00 |
| 08-14 21:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | SELL | 0.94 | $65.80 |
| 08-14 21:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.1k |
| 08-13 23:17 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0178693551 | $25.44 |
| 08-13 23:17 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.5287783878 | $528.77 |