HondaCivic
0x15ceffed7bf820cd2d90f90ea24ae9909f5cd5fa
- Realised P&L
- $67.7k
- Volume
- $7.62M
- Markets traded
- 5,125
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,125
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.1kat 0.002Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?
- +$5.0kat 0.432Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.147Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?
- +$1.7kat 0.168Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?
- +$1.7kat 0.999Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 19:03 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.9672350154 | $291.92 |
| 09-29 15:18 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6626479213 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on September 29? | SELL | 0.0375789257 | $3.66 |
| 09-28 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.0394654765 | $3.01 |
| 09-25 21:46 | Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season? | BUY | 0.3061062064 | $124.68 |
| 09-25 20:40 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.3266075846 | $271.98 |
| 09-25 20:38 | Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9355704993 | $177.74 |
| 09-25 20:38 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9088187 | $307.74 |
| 09-23 09:34 | Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9692620968 | $240.38 |
| 09-21 08:40 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? | BUY | 0.95 | $209.95 |
| 09-21 07:18 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? | BUY | 0.9447368421 | $179.50 |
| 09-21 07:12 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $76.79 |
| 09-21 07:06 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.3260784314 | $33.26 |
| 09-21 07:05 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? | BUY | 0.8770588235 | $149.10 |
| 09-21 07:03 | Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.858 | $85.80 |