HondaCivic
0x15ceffed7bf820cd2d90f90ea24ae9909f5cd5fa
- Realised P&L
- $59.2k
- Volume
- $7.42M
- Markets traded
- 4,921
- Open portfolio
- $189.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,921
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.1kat 0.002Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?
- +$5.1kat 0.422Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?
- +$1.7kat 0.168Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?
- +$1.7kat 0.999Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?
- +$1.4kat 0.070Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1330386485 | $22.99 |
| 08-07 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.41 |
| 08-07 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1438617247 | $15.56 |
| 08-06 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.02 | $15.80 |
| 08-06 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0988471335 | $23.67 |
| 08-06 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.038678733 | $6.84 |
| 07-09 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 9? | BUY | 0.786 | $3.93 |
| 07-02 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 05-24 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24? | SELL | 0.9 | $61.90 |
| 05-24 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 05-24 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 05-24 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 05-24 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 05-24 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |