DCB1991
0x15aae565a5f878477dc1bb5ca473f5d89dcfff02
- Realised P&L
- $602.59
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $748.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$809.53at 0.101US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$123.17at 0.345US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$118.29at 0.228Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$86.73at 0.413U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$61.29at 0.620Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:07 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3137254902 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 20:16 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.5699998906 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $5.56 |
| 08-04 15:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $26.76 |
| 08-04 15:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $10.74 |
| 08-04 05:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7809999937 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 05:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 05:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.998999901 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 05:37 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.7399998964 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:36 | Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999993 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 06:27 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999942 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 06:23 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 06:22 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 06:22 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 20:00 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.8199999672 | $10.00 |