MrDonaldinho
0x1575fb0abd00278b1708bef3871e8b8bb137b309
- Realised P&L
- $-400.81
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $39.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.69at 0.210US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$25.45at 0.440Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$20.27at 0.330Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?
- +$18.23at 0.520US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$16.67at 0.600Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.5500982145 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 22:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.1949999973 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 14:22 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 23:30 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $8.63 |
| 08-16 02:38 | Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? | BUY | 0.3364160333 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 23:26 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 23:25 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:24 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 23:22 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 23:22 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:58 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 19:52 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 18:38 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5199999861 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 18:38 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 18:37 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |