PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MrDonaldinho

0x1575fb0abd00278b1708bef3871e8b8bb137b309

Realised P&L
$-400.81
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$39.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? · Yes0.3360.295$13.15$1.85
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.0900.095$10.56+$0.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.5500.175$3.18$6.82
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1500.040$2.63$7.37
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes0.4360.172$1.98$3.02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5600.165$1.47$3.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? · Yes0.1950.047$1.21$3.79
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.3100.065$1.05$3.95
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.7200.695$0.97$0.03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5700.525$0.92$0.08
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1200.048$0.79$1.21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3600.065$0.54$2.46
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3600.095$0.53$1.47
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.5600.125$0.45$1.55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0900.005$0.31$4.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.5500982145$10.00
09-15 22:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.1949999973$5.00
08-24 14:22Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
08-20 23:30Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.69$8.63
08-16 02:38Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?BUY0.3364160333$15.00
08-01 23:26Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.4$5.00
08-01 23:25Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-01 23:24Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.3499999475$3.00
08-01 23:22Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?BUY0.65$1.00
08-01 23:22Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-01 19:58Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.1$5.00
08-01 19:52Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-01 18:38Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5199999861$3.00
07-01 18:38Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
07-01 18:37Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.3899998908$2.00