kilima
0x1574d715583f97ee03175f4f132d331720967b2a
- Realised P&L
- $-286.73
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $204.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.48at 0.146Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$68.72at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$43.36at 0.046Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$29.08at 0.308Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$27.83at 0.264Will Leavitt say "Biden" 5+ times during the next press briefing?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 01:44 | Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | BUY | 0.8489999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 01:41 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 02:07 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 02:08 | SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 02:07 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3921568627 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 02:04 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 02:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 02:23 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 02:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 02:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999393 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 02:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 03:40 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 03:40 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 03:40 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 08-27 03:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |