0x151a4b7F606D8489CF09612544c0648a538D0EcE-1771808906782
0x151a4b7f606d8489cf09612544c0648a538d0ece
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $206.7k
- Markets traded
- 361
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded361
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$226.26at 0.939Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$65.05at 0.967Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
- +$51.03at 0.531Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$49.92at 0.989Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$47.87at 0.989SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 22:49 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.1726833333 | $103.61 |
| 06-26 18:04 | Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | BUY | 0.987 | $197.40 |
| 06-26 18:03 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.8739132226 | $127.29 |
| 06-22 22:27 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.949 | $47.45 |
| 06-22 22:16 | Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 06-22 21:14 | Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 06-22 21:13 | Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 06-22 21:11 | Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 06-22 20:57 | Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 06-22 20:46 | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 06-22 20:46 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 06-22 20:44 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 06-22 20:43 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 06-22 20:38 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 20:37 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |