PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x151a4b7F606D8489CF09612544c0648a538D0EcE-1771808906782

0x151a4b7f606d8489cf09612544c0648a538d0ece

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$206.7k
Markets traded
361
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded361
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9740.968$2.1k$13.32
Brex IPO before 2027? · No0.9620.987$1.3k+$33.97
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8590.850$582.30$6.31
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9330.974$549.02+$22.75
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · No0.9790.993$496.25+$6.75
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · No0.9330.990$386.36+$22.20
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · No0.9290.988$302.26+$18.02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8600.925$277.50+$19.50
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · No0.5460.860$207.52+$75.83
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.973$194.50+$14.50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9350.918$180.91$3.35
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.8270.999$141.78+$24.37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7900.935$67.78+$10.51
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No0.8600.931$64.92+$4.92
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.9100.961$55.28+$2.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 22:49OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.1726833333$103.61
06-26 18:04Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsBUY0.987$197.40
06-26 18:03Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsBUY0.8739132226$127.29
06-22 22:27Will France win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.949$47.45
06-22 22:16Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunSELL0.59$29.50
06-22 21:14Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunBUY0.61$30.50
06-22 21:13Dallas Wings vs. Seattle StormBUY0.21$2.10
06-22 21:11Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunBUY0.61$6.10
06-22 20:57Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.61$6.10
06-22 20:46Will England win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.21$2.10
06-22 20:46Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.41$4.10
06-22 20:44Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.53$5.30
06-22 20:43Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.54$5.40
06-22 20:38Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.2$2.00
06-22 20:37Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.64$6.40
Trader 0x151a4b7F606D8489CF09612544c0648a538D0EcE-1771808906782 · PolyBot Pro