Puppymarket
0x14f5a34e28e06f7c4be00ce03e4779cd5d1631a3
- Realised P&L
- $-683.65
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,176
- Open portfolio
- $131.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,176
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.42at 0.806Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
- +$31.52at 0.924Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
- +$26.21at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
- +$22.71at 0.404Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$21.93at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 04:59 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $4.86 |
| 10-23 03:02 | OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8488571429 | $59.42 |
| 10-17 07:45 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $10.34 |
| 10-17 07:45 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.90 |
| 10-17 07:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 10-17 07:43 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 10-17 06:46 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0273261543 | $1.85 |
| 10-06 06:40 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $16.00 |
| 10-06 06:35 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 10-05 10:45 | OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $118.30 |
| 10-05 10:41 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 06-25 05:06 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 06-25 05:06 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.23 |
| 06-25 05:02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 06-24 13:23 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.30 |