PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x13A58f6D526633D87eAAF1279Ea31b9357566B30-1772518661220

0x13a58f6d526633d87eaaf1279ea31b9357566b30

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$45.4k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$27.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9100.958$21.8k+$1.1k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8320.961$2.9k+$386.19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9290.960$723.21+$23.21
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5680.960$540.46+$220.46
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9140.983$537.49+$37.49
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8500.895$530.59+$26.59
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · No0.9200.980$74.53+$4.53
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.3700.255$34.43$15.53
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9340.935$30.03+$0.03
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.9010.000$0.00$300.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.8140.000$0.00$23.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 11:00China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9339999998$30.00
09-03 10:58Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?BUY0.92$70.00
09-03 10:57Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.37$49.96
07-20 03:30Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?BUY0.87$4.00
07-20 03:29Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.9689999993$20.00
07-20 03:29Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.9699999995$20.00
07-20 03:29Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.9669999998$20.00
07-18 18:15Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.42$120.00
07-18 18:13Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5557319853$200.00
07-16 08:57Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9009999998$300.00
07-16 08:56Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5899999995$120.00
07-16 08:54Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3499999986$100.00
07-16 07:10Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?BUY0.8499999999$500.00
05-25 16:48Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.2799999916$20.00
05-25 16:47Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.9699999998$100.00