PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kxkxk

0x12dd0f0f5f5668f56710504cfa9169c5a72adb99

Realised P&L
$917.09
Volume
$44.8k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$106.17

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.1900.275$21.71+$6.71
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1270.032$13.09−$39.81
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.2150.275$12.80+$2.80
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1510.157$10.40+$0.40
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2200.225$10.23+$0.23
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2300.235$10.22+$0.22
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.4700.465$9.89−$0.11
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? · Yes0.4800.450$4.69−$0.31
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? · Yes0.2600.240$4.62−$0.38
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? · Yes0.6900.630$4.57−$0.43
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1400.048$3.46−$6.62
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.1910.006$0.51−$14.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.7160.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.4210.000$0.00−$143.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Down0.5180.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 04:38Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?BUY0.150999999$10.00
11-01 04:38Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.2199999974$10.00
11-01 04:38Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?BUY0.4699999944$10.00
11-01 04:33Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
10-28 23:55Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
10-28 23:54Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
10-28 23:54Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-28 23:48Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.2147808255$10.00
09-29 22:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.45$20.25
09-28 23:36Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?SELL0.37$8.41
09-28 23:36Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.041275989$10.32
09-25 01:48Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?BUY0.22$11.44
09-24 14:34Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.5149999928$10.00
09-23 23:34Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?BUY0.16$8.00
09-23 23:25Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.22$9.90