PolyBot

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Traders

bearbees2

0x12b8e7c160f3ced67a22b7eadf764cd1c2c4479c

Realised P&L
$35.2k
Volume
$3.57M
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$124.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9620.980$37.6k+$679.64
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9320.950$9.4k+$176.33
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.9330.945$8.4k+$102.59
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9500.973$6.8k+$157.29
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? · No0.9170.945$6.7k+$194.04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9570.961$6.2k+$19.99
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.9640.983$6.0k+$116.21
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9610.980$5.5k+$104.38
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · No0.8240.953$5.4k+$731.35
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.968$3.6k+$47.70
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? · No0.8100.815$3.5k+$21.27
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.9390.953$3.1k+$44.92
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.6260.855$2.9k+$789.96
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.8520.971$2.6k+$321.59
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9630.981$2.2k+$40.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 23:20Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.96$7.68
10-31 23:14Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9336918168$5.6k
10-31 22:49Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.83$996.01
10-30 17:29Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9738300956$1.3k
10-30 17:27Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9718982144$3.3k
10-30 17:20Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.954$119.08
10-30 17:01Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.96$1.1k
10-30 16:57Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.964$2.4k
10-30 16:10Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9695104831$797.66
10-28 21:49Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9885454545$76.12
10-28 21:41Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9284270816$3.6k
10-28 20:04Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.985893617$46.34
10-28 14:33Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9881729225$45.54
10-28 14:33Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.987$19.74
10-28 14:32Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9803333333$14.70