PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Insidemkt

0x125f6a571d10309a4905ad8ca2197973b7494331

Realised P&L
$-761.30
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1550.180$347.09+$47.09
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.7100.750$286.27+$15.27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.5670.999$176.23+$76.23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.715$113.49+$13.49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.175$87.50−$2.50
Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.5230.000$0.00−$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · No0.2550.000$0.00−$26.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.5200.000$0.00−$52.00
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.7540.000$0.00−$300.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$39.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$2.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$18.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · No0.3200.000$0.00−$31.99
Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 19:37Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999989$100.00
09-19 20:17Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.160384352$100.00
09-19 20:17Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.7211443462$100.00
09-14 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.5899999493$5.00
09-14 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-12 13:47Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.7099999996$200.00
09-12 13:44Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.155578208$300.00
09-12 13:43Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5668668289$100.00
09-12 13:40Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.3259338123$200.00
09-12 13:38Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.7715133508$200.00
09-11 08:52Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$48.00
09-11 08:51Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.71$71.00
08-18 22:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.2$3.01
08-18 22:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?BUY0.037$0.03
08-07 13:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.15$45.00