0x1022078fACb4F023e66afF7c604903d5B59d614A-1768811941131
0x1022078facb4f023e66aff7c604903d5b59d614a
- Realised P&L
- $-31.06
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $21.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.86at 0.150US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$5.89at 0.263Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
- +$5.29at 0.630Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$5.14at 0.070Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$4.89at 0.380Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 09-15 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:01 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 13:59 | Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6183816162 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 13:57 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 13:56 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $2.16 |
| 09-15 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |